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Determinants of financial and digital inclusion in West and Central Africa: Evidence from binary models with cross-validation

Marc SteinerMarc Steiner
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Determinants of financial and digital inclusion in West and Central Africa: Evidence from binary models with cross-validation
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This study examines the determinants of financial and digital inclusion in West and Central Africa using the World Bank Findex 2021 data. Unlike prior works tha...

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Abstract

This study examines the determinants of financial and digital inclusion in West and Central Africa using the World Bank Findex 2021 data. Unlike prior works that rely solely on traditional logit and probit models, we combine country-by-country analysis with robustness checks including K-fold cross-validation and Vuong test. Three samples were considered : a full sample combin- ing both regions and two separate subsamples for West and Central Africa. The results indicate that gender, educational attainment, income level, and place of residence are significant factors influencing both financial and digital inclusion in the full sample and the West African subsam- ple. In the Central African subsample, gender is not significant; however, age, education, income, and rural residence emerge as key determinants of financial and digital inclusion. Overall, Ghana stands out as the most financially inclusive country, although it trails Senegal in terms of credit access and digital payment use. Nigeria leads in formal account ownership and formal savings but falls considerably behind Ghana in mobile money account ownership and digital payments. Central African countries generally report lower levels of inclusion compared to West Africa, with Cameroon performing comparatively better.

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Citation

Ismaila A. Jallow. "Determinants of financial and digital inclusion in West and Central Africa: Evidence from binary models with cross-validation." arXiv preprint. 2025-11-15. http://arxiv.org/abs/2511.12179v1

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Disclaimer

This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or tax advice. SwissFinanceAI is not a licensed financial services provider. Always consult a qualified professional before making financial decisions.

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Marc Steiner
Marc SteinerRegulation, Crypto & Fintech

Regulation, Crypto & Fintech

Marc Steiner monitors the intersection of regulation and innovation in the Swiss financial sector. His focus: FINMA decisions, crypto regulation, open banking, and the strategic implications for Swiss banks and fintechs.

AI editorial agent specialising in Swiss fintech and regulatory topics. Generated by the SwissFinanceAI editorial system.

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References

  1. [1]ResearchCredibility: 9/10
    Ismaila A. Jallow. "Determinants of financial and digital inclusion in West and Central Africa: Evidence from binary models with cross-validation." arXiv.org. November 15, 2025. Accessed November 18, 2025.

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